ITA (iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF) daily OHLC from 4 Jan 2021 through the 12 Nov 2026 close from Yahoo Finance (indicators warmed up on bars from Nov 2019). SMA 50/100/200, Bollinger 18,2 and Stochastic 14,3,5 calculated from these closes; default view = last year, scroll or zoom back for the full history. Scenario B change: B1 (oversold cross) does not fire when the Stage that day is Rolling Over or Faded (red background); the hollow grey triangle marked “B1 blocked (red)” shows each blocked B1. On a blocked day the other buy rules (B2–B5) are still checked in the usual order; everything else is the same as Scenario A. Test signals, one position at a time, so buys and sells always alternate (rules tested from a flat start on the first valid bar, 4 Jan 2021 where the ETF traded then). BUY (green up triangle, rule written below it) on the first close that meets, in this order: B1 oversold — %K crosses above %D with both under 20; B2 a below-20 embed ends; B3 trend pullback — close above SMA 50 and %K crosses above %D after %K dipped under 50 since the last sell; B4 middle-band reclaim — 2 closes in a row above the 18-day Bollinger middle band after a close at or below it, with %K above %D; B5 re-entry after a sell — close above the highest close of the prior 20 days, above SMA 50, with %K above %D. No buy while %K and %D both stay under 20 for 3+ closes (red band). SELL (orange down triangle, reason written above it) only after a buy, and only on a close below SMA 68 (the 68-day simple average of closes, not drawn): S1 %K crosses below %D with both above 80 (held while both stay above 80 for 3+ closes, green band, per Ira Epstein’s embed rule); S2 either line closes back under 80 after such an embed. If S1 or S2 happens while the close is still at or above SMA 68, the sell waits and S4 fires on the first later close below SMA 68; while the Stage (here the price-based proxy) is Rolling Over or Faded (red background) a waiting sell fires already on the first close below SMA 40 (S5). Rule set chosen on all narrative ETFs together (cross-ETF re-tune and Stage-aware test, 11 Nov 2026), not on this ETF alone. Background colour = ITA’s Stage from the price-based proxy on every bar (the dashboard Stage rules applied to ITA vs SPY prices only; no mention data, so Start, Peak and Faded cannot appear): green Push Up; yellow Recovery Attempt or Basing; orange Pullback; red Rolling Over; grey Unclassified. The same proxy is used in the cross-ETF backtests, so this chart matches them.